What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 60%, implying a 60% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

YES

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (540d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 4.0K Event Will Nauru be renamed to Naoero?

60%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 83% · Low 69%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.