What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 840 thousand

Closes Aug 29, 2026 (50d) 24h volume 173 Open interest 1.4K Event Norwegian Cruise Line passengers carried in Q2

64%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 84% · Low 46% · 7d +30.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.