What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before October

Closes Oct 01, 2026 (106d) 24h volume 563 Open interest 27.0K Event When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

implied YES probability

Last 23 days · High 98% · Low 1% · 7d -50.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.