What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 77%, implying a 77% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before Oct 1, 2027

Closes Oct 01, 2027 (471d) 24h volume 126 Open interest 126 Event When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?

77%

implied YES probability

+8.0pp 24h

Last 1 days · High 71% · Low 71%

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.