What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 61%, implying a 61% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 08, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Ed Miliband

Closes Jan 08, 2027 (182d) 24h volume 150 Open interest 8.1K Event Who will be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer?

61%

implied YES probability

-12.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 72% · Low 15% · 7d +30.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.