What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Stays with New Orleans or Retires

Closes Oct 21, 2026 (103d) 24h volume 2.3K Open interest 23.5K Event Trey Murphy III's Next Team

50%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 60% · Low 20% · 7d +81.8pp

TISI Team, Inc.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.