What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Nigel Farage

Closes Jan 01, 2030 (1294d) 24h volume 5 Open interest 67.0K Event Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

implied YES probability

-1.5pp 24h

Last 73 days · High 17% · Low 1% · 7d +60.7pp · 30d -59.1pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.