What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Feb 12, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Josh Allen

Closes Feb 12, 2028 (605d) 24h volume 2.1K Open interest 158.7K Event MVP Winner?

10%

implied YES probability

Last 48 days · High 14% · Low 8% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -15.4pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 10.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.