What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

4.5% or above

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 12 Open interest 12 Event Where will the 10 year US Treasury yield close this month?

34%

implied YES probability

+45.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.