What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Alex Bores

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 2.8K Open interest 70.1K Event NY-12 Democratic nominee?

34%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 82 days · High 54% · Low 26% · 7d -15.0pp · 30d -20.9pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.