What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 52%, implying a 52% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Adriano Espaillat

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (371d) 24h volume 6.7K Open interest 57.5K Event NY-13 Democratic nominee?

52%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 50 days · High 72% · Low 33% · 7d +8.0pp · 30d -20.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.