What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Robert Smullen

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (371d) 24h volume 216 Open interest 2.7K Event NY-21 Republican nominee?

16%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 20 days · High 28% · Low 10% · 7d +26.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.