What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Earbuds/Headphones

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 18 Open interest 12.9K Event What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

30%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 70 days · High 66% · Low 23% · 7d -26.2pp · 30d -20.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.