What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 83%, implying a 83% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Malia / Sasha

Closes Jul 03, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 139 Open interest 139 Event What will Obama say during his Presidential Center Dedication Ceremony?

83%

implied YES probability

+85.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.