What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 80%, implying a 80% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Mark Tedford

Closes Nov 03, 2027 (504d) 24h volume 15.8K Open interest 25.3K Event OK-01 Republican nominee?

80%

implied YES probability

+43.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 50% · Low 12% · 7d +66.7pp · 30d -20.4pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.