What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Tate McRae

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 449 Open interest 1.1K Event Who will perform at The Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026?

44%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 81% · Low 50%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.