What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 29, 2045. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before 2045

Closes Jan 29, 2045 (6778d) 24h volume 22 Open interest 13.9K Event Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

16%

implied YES probability

Last 75 days · High 18% · Low 6% · 7d +5.9pp · 30d +85.6pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.