What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Matt Fitzpatrick

Closes Jul 05, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 37.7K Open interest 44.1K Event U.S. Open End of Round 1 Leader

implied YES probability

-0.7pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 3% · Low 2%

Spread 0.2¢ · Mid 1.8¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.