What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Aaron Rai

Closes Jul 19, 2026 (32d) 24h volume 11.3K Open interest 14.2K Event U.s. Open: Top 20 Finishers

26%

implied YES probability

Last 2 days · High 37% · Low 27%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.