What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Cameron Smith

Closes Jul 19, 2026 (32d) 24h volume 16.3K Open interest 21.2K Event U.s. Open: Top 20 Finishers

18%

implied YES probability

+4.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 24% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.