kalshi
Sports
Will Rory McIlroy win the Genesis Scottish Open?
Rory McIlroy
18%
implied YES probability
+10.7pp 24h
Price history
Last 4 days ·
High 11% ·
Low 9%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Rory McIlroy winning the Genesis Scottish Open indicates a relatively low probability of his victory, with a current YES price of 0.07, implying a 7% chance of him emerging as the winner. This assessment is informed by known facts about McIlroy's recent form and performance in similar events. The market is currently pricing in his chances based on these factors, without any significant external influences that would suggest a drastic shift up or down in his probability of winning. Any changes to McIlroy's preparation, injury status, or competition from other top golfers could potentially impact the price, with an increase in YES prices indicating a higher perceived likelihood of his victory and a decrease suggesting a lower chance.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0¢ | 65746 | 20.0¢ | 748664 | |
| 16.0¢ | 61338 | 21.0¢ | 336600 | |
| 15.0¢ | 43515 | 22.0¢ | 244482 | |
| 14.0¢ | 370 | 24.0¢ | 617 | |
| 13.0¢ | 20000 | 25.0¢ | 700 |
Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 18.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.