kalshi Sports

Will Rory McIlroy win the The Open Championship?

Rory McIlroy
Closes Aug 02, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 26.9K Open interest 364.9K Event The Open Championship Winner
10%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 18 days · High 12% · Low 9% · 7d -2.0pp
12%9%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing Rory McIlroy's chances of winning The Open Championship at a 10% probability, with a YES price of $0.10. This assessment is informed by known facts such as McIlroy's recent form and his past performances in major championships. The current price does not reflect any specific information about the competition or course conditions that may impact McIlroy's chances. Any changes to McIlroy's health, form, or preparation would likely influence the YES price, with an improvement in his performance potentially driving the price up and a decline potentially pushing it down. Conversely, news about other competitors' performances or course conditions could also affect the market's assessment of McIlroy's likelihood of winning.
Generated Jun 30, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
9.0¢ 28 9.7¢ 1333
8.9¢ 990 9.8¢ 17062
8.7¢ 1912 9.9¢ 8843
8.6¢ 610 10.0¢ 2767
8.5¢ 2300 11.0¢ 345611
Spread 0.7¢ · Mid 9.3¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.