kalshi
Sports
Will Rory McIlroy win the The Open Championship?
Rory McIlroy
10%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 18 days ·
High 12% ·
Low 9%
· 7d -2.0pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing Rory McIlroy's chances of winning The Open Championship at a 10% probability, with a YES price of $0.10. This assessment is informed by known facts such as McIlroy's recent form and his past performances in major championships. The current price does not reflect any specific information about the competition or course conditions that may impact McIlroy's chances. Any changes to McIlroy's health, form, or preparation would likely influence the YES price, with an improvement in his performance potentially driving the price up and a decline potentially pushing it down. Conversely, news about other competitors' performances or course conditions could also affect the market's assessment of McIlroy's likelihood of winning.
Generated Jun 30, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0¢ | 28 | 9.7¢ | 1333 | |
| 8.9¢ | 990 | 9.8¢ | 17062 | |
| 8.7¢ | 1912 | 9.9¢ | 8843 | |
| 8.6¢ | 610 | 10.0¢ | 2767 | |
| 8.5¢ | 2300 | 11.0¢ | 345611 |
Spread 0.7¢ · Mid 9.3¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.