What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 50%, implying a 50% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Marco Penge

Closes Jun 16, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 27.9K Open interest 73.9K Event U.S. Open Winner

50%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 0% · Low 0% · 7d -75.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.