What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 14, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Yes

Closes Jul 14, 2026 (27d) 24h volume 11.2K Open interest 360.1K Event Will Graham Platner drop out?

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 19% · Low 6% · 7d -21.3pp

Spread 0.7¢ · Mid 6.7¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.