What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 20, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 185 million

Closes Aug 20, 2026 (64d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 802 Event Zyn US shipment volume in Q2

68%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 71% · Low 47% · 7d -1.5pp · 30d +38.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.