What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $1006.43

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 297 Open interest 1.4K Event 151 Ultra-Premium Collection Up or Down: July

28%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 60% · Low 29%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.