What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $795.01

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 200 Open interest 205 Event Mega Dragonite ex Up or Down: July

54%

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 59% · Low 14%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.