What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above $457.1

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 100 Open interest 154 Event Phantasmal Flames Booster Box Up or Down: July

42%

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 41% · Low 17%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.