What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Before Jul 1, 2026

Closes Jul 02, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 732 Open interest 3.8K Event Will Spencer Pratt concede?

28%

implied YES probability

-16.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 79% · Low 22% · 7d -71.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.