What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 14, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

In 2028

Closes Nov 14, 2028 (881d) 24h volume 27 Open interest 3.7K Event Will Elon Musk support the Democrats in 2028?

8%

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 13% · Low 3%

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.