What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 15%, implying a 15% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 07, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Gavin Newsom v. Marco Rubio

Closes Nov 07, 2028 (874d) 24h volume 1 Open interest 27.3K Event 2028 Presidential matchup

15%

implied YES probability

Last 62 days · High 16% · Low 8% · 7d +14.3pp · 30d +63.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.