What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

anything greater than 0%

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume 560 Open interest 6.7K Event Arizona Iced Tea price increase in 2026?

14%

implied YES probability

Last 83 days · High 27% · Low 6% · 7d +30.0pp · 30d -35.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.