What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Butte

Closes Jun 02, 2027 (350d) 24h volume 30 Open interest 660 Event California governor primary: which counties will Steve Hilton win?

98%

implied YES probability

Last 7 days · High 99% · Low 80%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.