What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 96%, implying a 96% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Marin

Closes Jun 02, 2027 (350d) 24h volume 223 Open interest 381 Event California governor primary: which counties will Tom Steyer win?

96%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 97% · Low 10% · 7d +288.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.