What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%

Closes Aug 04, 2027 (390d) 24h volume 2.9K Open interest 17.2K Event Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

16%

implied YES probability

-13.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 56% · Low 8% · 7d -31.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.