What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Apr 28, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Karen Bass, 8-12%

Closes Apr 28, 2027 (315d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 37.5K Event Los Angeles mayoral election first round: margin of victory

implied YES probability

Last 31 days · High 66% · Low 1% · 7d -80.0pp · 30d -90.9pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 58.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.