What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Adrian Boafo, ≥18%

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (348d) 24h volume 51 Open interest 536 Event MD-05 Democratic primary margin of victory?

implied YES probability

Last 6 days · High 19% · Low 1%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.