What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Micah Lasher, 4-6%

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (348d) 24h volume 344 Open interest 1.3K Event NY-12 Democratic primary margin of victory?

64%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 97% · Low 6% · 7d +430.0pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.