What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 46%, implying a 46% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 16, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Barry Moore, 12-15%

Closes Jun 16, 2027 (364d) 24h volume 10.1K Open interest 6.6K Event Alabama Republican Senate runoff margin of victory?

46%

implied YES probability

+35.0pp 24h

Last 6 days · High 15% · Low 8%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.