What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 74%, implying a 74% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 11, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Nirav Shah

Closes Jun 11, 2027 (359d) 24h volume 300 Open interest 1.5K Event Maine Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

74%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 77% · Low 76%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.