What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 02, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Above 875k

Closes Jun 02, 2027 (350d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 15.0K Event Los Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout (1st round)

implied YES probability

Last 9 days · High 47% · Low 3% · 7d -27.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.