What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Above 110k

Closes Jun 23, 2027 (371d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 332 Event NY-12 Democratic primary: voter turnout

36%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 46% · Low 34%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.