What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 58%, implying a 58% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 04, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Above 1.4M

Closes Aug 04, 2027 (390d) 24h volume 133 Open interest 179 Event Michigan Senate Democratic primary: voter turnout

58%

implied YES probability

+6.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 59% · Low 53%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.