What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 18K

Closes Jul 19, 2026 (9d) 24h volume 21 Open interest 50 Event The Real Me: First Week Pure Album Sales

16%

implied YES probability

-39.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 50% · Low 20%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.