What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 110K

Closes Aug 09, 2026 (53d) 24h volume 229 Open interest 1.3K Event petal: First Week Pure Album Sales

54%

implied YES probability

-19.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 74% · Low 23% · 7d +42.3pp · 30d +221.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.