What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Entertainment

Above 6K

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume 2.7K Open interest 15.7K Event xperiment: First Week Pure Album Sales

4%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 17 days · High 46% · Low 1% · 7d -94.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.