What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2035. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before 2035

Closes Jan 01, 2035 (3097d) 24h volume 262 Open interest 4.3K Event When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

57%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 57% · Low 48% · 7d -3.5pp

QMCO Quantum Corporation

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.