What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 31%, implying a 31% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4 inches

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 1.3K Open interest 2.2K Event Rain in Miami in Jun 2026?

31%

implied YES probability

-46.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 99% · Low 66% · 7d -17.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.