What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 62%, implying a 62% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4 inches

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 3.1K Open interest 5.0K Event Rain in NYC in Jul 2026?

62%

implied YES probability

+10.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 88% · Low 46% · 7d -6.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.