What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

Above 4 inches

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (13d) 24h volume 353 Open interest 3.2K Event Rain in NYC in Jun 2026?

30%

implied YES probability

Last 19 days · High 33% · Low 1% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.